The GOP Beauty Contest Continues
October 25, 2011
Do you get the feeling that the early battle between GOP presidential candidates is more like a BEAUTY CONTEST than a campaign? The media makes it so, because the big five television networks are ravenous for a story. ANY story. Personalities, slight conflicts in policy, who lost his cool last… it’s a reality show contest!
Today, we look at the latest standings revealed in the October 19-24th The New York Times/CBS Poll. (The last two organizations we should be listening to when it comes to GOP potential!)
Here are the numbers:
Of 1650 adults and 1475 interviews conducted among registered voters likely to vote in GOP Primaries:
Herman Cain 25%
Mitt Romney 21%
Newt Gingrich 10%
Rom Paul 8%
RICK PERRY 6%
Michele Bachamann 2%
Rick Santorum 1%
Jon Huntsman 1%
What do these numbers tell us? More about what’s happening behind the scenes than in front of the cameras.
Jon Huntsman and Rick Santorum? OFF THE STAGE. Michele Bachmann? She will fight it out for honor in Iowa, but no matter how beautifully the Congresswoman masks the difficulties of her organization, it’s hurting. Michele Bachmann is smart and she is a bulldog, but she can’t be everywhere. Her campaign manager, Ed Rollins, threw his hands up and quit and took his people with him. Bachmann has had to shut down revolts in two separate statewide campaign offices. Now, she’s digging in and just trying to hold on for Iowa. Bachmann might cut her losses and consider it a win to have been mostly successful on the national stage.
Rick Perry has sunk to 6% in the polls after starting out ahead of the steady Mitt Romney. Perhaps his last minute economic plan will lift him? Perry is the only candidate with any real money to challenge former
Governor Romney in New Hampshire or any other state, but Perry just brings no confidence to the national stage. We WANT to support him, we WANT him to have the answers, but in each and every debate, Texas Governor Perry seems a foot wide and an inch deep.
Herman Cain….is riding a wave this week. However, he has little money coming in. Cain is outstanding in plain-speak, but he gets agitated and impatient when seriously challenged. Herman Cain has great ideas, but he is lean on government experience and rich on talk radio experience. We like what he is contributing to the discourse, but anyone who believes that America can keep the streetlights on with 9- 9- 9-, is dreaming. Herman Cain is going to play a role, but it might be as Vice President.
Finally, Mitt Romney, like a steady horse holding to the inside, is waiting out the opposition. The longer pundits and viewers scrutinize Rick Perry’s Christmas Tree economic plan, and Cain’s unrealistic 9 – 9 – 9 plan, the more it will become obvious that Mitt Romney is the only GOP candidate with the tool box to fix the U.S. economy.
Republican Primary voters will have to set aside their misgivings and focus once and for all on cleaning out The White House.
Insiders, big national funders, political strategists in the GOP and the Democratic Party know it’s just a matter of time before Mitt Romney and Barack Obama are staring across at each other on a stage with Anderson Cooper trying his hardest to appear…..as if he is undecided.
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Not a bad article, but you forgot to mention anything at all about Newt or Ron Paul. I actually believe Newt is becoming a stronger and stronger candidate. He is by far the smartest and most knowledgeable. I have yet to have one facebook friend show any support for Romney, including several Tea Party articles I have browsed.
Thanks Kim. Just happened upon your thought. Ron Paul is always enormously helpful in the discussion, though not seriously considered a contender. Newt Gingrich is going to play a role in the next GOP administration, you can count on it. Unfortunately, because of baggage from the past and because he hasn’t been able to maintain even a small, cohesive campaign staff, he isn’t really running outside of the debate stage. Perhaps he’ll surprise us in Iowa? Thanks for your input Kim.
I think this analysis is spot on. Bachmann, Santorun and Huntsman absolutely need to go. I like Paul staying because he keeps everyone honest and brings us back to principles. Newt can stay for a while, but he’s going nowhere (we all know that, with his baggage) yet he continues to be entertaining and throw red meat in the debates.
Perry gets to stay just because of his money, and Mitt and Herman stay for their front runner status.
In my bones, I believe the only candidate that can beat Obama – that is, win independents, bring over some disgrunteled dems, and appeal to a broad enough swath of US voting public, is Mitt. This is not the time for purity tests or narrowing the tent because of reservations you might have with Mitt’s past. The man is saying all the right things and I believe his conservative convictions this time. He knows he has to operate that way to unwind the damage done by Obama. So when he wins the nomination, I expect all conservatives to shut up and line up… behind Mitt. Otherwise, they will be forsaking their country and our future by doing otherwise.
Mitt is a problem solver and a leader. And that is why he will win.